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A recent poll found more than half of U.S. workers use some form of artificial intelligence on the job, while a separate one found half of Americans also worry about the technology putting people close to them out of work.

You’re seeing some of that same dissonance in markets right now. Investors who rushed to put their money in AI are suddenly anxious about the cost of hyperscaling, and businesses who adopted AI agents taking out new insurance policies to cover hallucinations.

We’ll have more on all that below, plus the economics of $15 ice cream. But first, let’s dig into what else Americans are worrying about in this economy. — Tony Wagner, newsletter editor
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A gif of Caleigh Wells telling us older generations are worried about the economy, but younger ones are not.
Click to watch a video version of this story on Instagram.
Baby Boomers and Gen Z have different concerns about the economy
Marketplace’s Caleigh Wells dives into the labor market anxiety age gap.
Over the past few months, Baby Boomers’ confidence in the economy has continued its slow march downward, while Gen Z’s has stayed elevated. That’s according to the most recent consumer confidence data from The Conference Board.

The main driver of this trend: 20-year-olds and 70-year-olds are just worried about different things.

The more pessimistic groups are “very concerned about what's happening with healthcare. And they're also very concerned with things like retirement, or, if they are retired, how well are their benefits going to be doing,” said Tom Arnold, who teaches finance at the University of Richmond.

He said young people worry about labor and credit, or their ability to make and spend money.

“The only time that the younger generation really, really gets pessimistic is if there aren't any jobs. But unemployment's at a relative low,” he said.

The job market and credit environment aren’t all that worrisome right now, while healthcare costs keep rising. Hence, the sentiment gap.

The gap is also especially wide in The Conference Board survey because it focuses on the labor market.

“They put a lot of weight on the questions which are about wages or expected wage growth, things like that,” said Camelia Kuhnen, who teaches household finance and labor at the University of North Carolina.

So younger workers appear especially optimistic in this survey, because they see higher wage growth year-to-year than older people, Kuhnen said.
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News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Most stocks rose today, but tech dragged Wall Street down. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, and the Dow added 1%, but tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 0.2% closer to bear territory.

  • Shares in UPS lost nearly 6.6% today even after beating quarterly expectations. The company is reducing its reliance on Amazon in favor of fewer, more lucrative deliveries.

  • The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is above 6.5%, the highest in almost a year. We talked with a lender about who’s holding out for a better market and who’s tired of waiting.

The Trump administration
  • Tomorrow is decision day for the Federal Reserve, and new chair Kevin Warsh has been less talkative than his predecessor about future plans. Here’s what investors and economists will be looking out for.
     
  • The President was in Michigan yesterday, making big claims about his aggressive trade policy reshoring jobs. The truth is a bit more nuanced than that.

  • The U.S. trade deficit shrank 4% in June from a month before, but the U.S. still imported $101.5 billion more goods than it exported. Here’s why.

  • A federal judge blocked Minnesota’s first-of-its-kind ban on prediction markets after legal challenges from the markets themselves and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Tech
  • A lot of people like watching ripped, vertical clips of TV shows on TikTok and Instagram, and streaming services want in.

  • Artificial intelligence apps that allow users to create sexualized images “nudifying” real people have grown into a multimillion dollar industry.

  • The AI boom is feeding a boomlet in the insurance industry: Companies want coverage in case the bots mess something up.


QUOTE OF THE DAY
“They're staring down the barrel of trillions of spend in a market that basically doesn't want them to spend more, but would probably penalize them for spending less because that would be some type of admission of failure.”
— Daniel Newman, founder of the AI-tech consultancy The Futurum Group
Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon issue earnings reports this week, as investors are showing more concern about how much cash companies are burning building data centers. Alphabet’s stock fell after a great earnings report last week over concerns with its AI spending. How much shareholder pressure would it take to make tech giants blink?
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A screenshot from the A to Z Creamery instagram showing fancy pints and sketch videos.
Screenshot of @AtoZCreamery on Instagram
Final note
The little treat economy
It’s my guilty pleasure: Minnesota’s A to Z Creamery sells $14 pints of ice cream on Instagram — $15.25 with fees. I have to drive two towns over to pick up their weekly “drop,” but I sometimes do because it’s just that good.

I only bring it up because A to Z got a profile on CNN this week (if you hit a paywall here’s a link to the story on Instagram Reels). It turns out super-fancy treats kind of embody this weird economy we’re in right now. Why didn’t I think of that?

A to Z is one of many businesses borne out of pandemic hobbies, and it’s found success even in a “k-shaped” economy. High-income consumers just keep spending, and folks with less income are willing to indulge a bit to support local business, even if a vacation or house isn’t in the budget right now. For what it’s worth: I skipped A to Z’s recent $100 pint made with champagne, caviar and gold leaf.
 
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