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President Donald Trump took his case for the Iran war to the American people last night, but didn’t provide a clear timetable for ending it. Oil prices went up and stocks went down, but markets eked out a weekly gain — we’ve got the numbers for you ahead of the long weekend. If you haven’t already sensed it, brace yourself for high gas prices for the rest of the year. We’ll explain. But first, it’s been a year since Trump’s “Liberation Day” kicked off a global trade war, and my colleague Kimberly Adams explains what that means for the broader economy. — Carrie Barber, newsletter editor
President Trump holds up an executive order levying tariffs on April 2, 2025. American flags hang behind him.
If there's any industry that has benefited from Trump's tariffs, it's lobbyists (who are lobbying for industries to get out of paying tariffs). Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images
"Liberation Day" tariffs, one year later
Before they were overturned by the Supreme Court, the Trump administration’s tariffs announced on April 2, 2025, cost U.S. consumers and small businesses a lot of money.
A year ago today, the president pulled out a chart in the now paved-over Rose Garden and set the global economy on fire. He announced his so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs, which then changed a bunch of times before being deemed illegal by the Supreme Court earlier this year.
 
The tariffs were mostly paid by us — consumers and small businesses.
 
Justine Kahn, the founder and CEO of Botnia, a skincare company based in California, has been dealing with pricier essential oils from France, packaging from Spain and herbs from Tibet.
 
“And so what used to cost, you know, if we placed a $10,000 order, now costs us $15,000, and so that has really impacted our business,” she said.
 
The broader economic impact on the economy, “it's thankfully not been an utter disaster,” said the Competitive Enterprise Institute’s Ryan Young with a bit of a sigh. “Because the enacted tariff rates were roughly half of what the president threatened at the Rose Garden press conference, but it's still been pretty bad.”
 
Pretty bad in terms of higher prices for businesses and consumers across many sectors, bruised relations with our allies, and very few, if any, of the economic benefits the Trump administration promised.
 
But one industry has seen a boost, said Scott Lincicome at the Cato Institute. 
 
“The offer of exemptions and the prospect of new tariff protection has led to a dramatic rise in lobbying on trade in Washington,” he said. A sixfold increase, Lincicome said, as just about every industry affected by tariffs looks for a way to get out of paying them.


 
News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Stocks shook off jitters and ended the week on the plus side, a first since the Iran war began. The S&P 500 rose 0.1%, the Dow fell 0.1%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.2%. Markets will be closed for Good Friday.

  • The private sector hired 62,000 workers in March, better than expected, payroll processor ADP reported Wednesday. Education and health services again drove the gains. The government jobs report arrives tomorrow morning.

  • The national average for a gallon of regular gas was $4.08, according to AAA.
  • Even if the war in Iran ended tomorrow, you can expect gas prices well above $3 a gallon through the rest of the year. Here’s why.

  • A barrel of U.S. crude oil rose to $111.54 today, but more than half of oil executives in and around Texas told the Dallas Fed they aren’t planning to build more wells this year. It all has to do with timing.

Your money
  • The private loan industry is limiting investor withdrawals, and some people are worried that could lead to a financial crisis. Here’s what you need to know. 


  • What are people pawning and what does that say about the economy? Host David Brancaccio went to Elliott Salter Gives Instant Loans in West Hollywood, California, to find out.

  • TSA agents are being paid and returning to work during the partial government shutdown, but airports are still seeing delays. Why? Some travelers can’t shake the notion they have to get there four hours early.
 
Food
  • Your cool neighborhood cafe may not be what you think. Hospitality groups, a growing part of the restaurant industry, have one owner and several dining “concepts.” It sounds low-key corporate, but “secret chains” help manage rising costs, a hospitality owner told us. 

  • We thought it was an April Fool’s hoax, but Red Lobster really is bringing back all-you-can-eat shrimp, the way-too-popular meal that helped push it into bankruptcy. 

  • And this: Hershey is going back to Reese’s original recipes next year, after the founder’s grandson accused the company of switching to cheaper ingredients.


QUOTE OF THE DAY
“Our rent, our payroll, our ingredients all cost more, and our sales, truthfully, have pretty much flattened out over the last year.”
— Kristin Thalheimer-Bingham, co-owner of Dean’s Sweets in Portland, Maine
A whopping 97% of U.S. importers are small businesses. And importers, we’d like to remind you, are the ones paying the Trump administration’s tariffs. Thalheimer-Bingham caught a bit of a break in November when tariffs on cocoa and other commodities were lifted. But small business owners told us they’re still paying more for all kinds of goods and services jacked up by the remaining tariffs.
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Final note
Do you know where your retirement money is?
Reema Khrais has an embarrassing confession. She’s the host of “This Is Uncomfortable,” our podcast about our relationships with money, yet she doesn’t know if she has money squirreled away in a retirement account set up early in her career. The funny thing is, there are lots of people in the same boat.
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