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The Federal Reserve said today it’s holding interest rates steady while the economy struggles with high gas prices and uncertainty from the war in Iran. Keeping prices stable is half of the Fed’s job. The other is maximizing employment. Our colleague Mitchell Hartman starts us off by explaining why achieving both simultaneously is so difficult. Then we’ll look at the high price of shrimp, a red yarn shortage, and a dentist who’s trying to stay afloat. — Tony Wagner and Carrie Barber, newsletter editors
Fed Chair Jerome Powell on a stage under a blue light.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images
The Fed has two equally important jobs, but one might have to come first
The central bank is charged with promoting a strong economy through stable prices and maximum employment, but can you have the latter without the former?
The economy added 156,000 jobs in the past 12 months. Over the year before that, it added more than a million.
 
“For some time, it’s been clear the market has weakened,” said Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at consulting firm RSM.
 
But the market has stabilized quite a bit recently, said Christine Cooper, chief U.S. economist and managing director at CoStar Group.
 
“We had some job losses in February, we had job gains in January, some losses in December, and [they] seem to kind of offset each other,” Cooper said.
 
But the labor pool is shrinking, she added, with the Trump administration cutting immigration and baby boomers retiring. Slower job growth might not be such a big problem — except for the sharp uptick in long-term unemployment.
 
Workers who still have a job are starting to fall behind financially.
 
“Given the stagnancy we’ve seen across many sectors in the labor market, it’s not surprising to me we’ve seen wage growth decline,” said Laura Ullrich, director of economic research at jobs website Indeed.
 
The wages employers are posting on Indeed are up just 2.1% from this time last year. Consumer prices are up 2.4%. And that brings things back to the “dual mandate.”
 
Brusuelas said the Fed can’t attack both ends of it at the same time.
“Given the oil and energy shock which is shaping up to be the largest since the 1970s, the Federal Reserve is going to find itself in a tension between price stability and maximum sustainable employment,” he said.
 
Control over inflation will be the first order of business for the Fed, Brusuelas said, before it does anything to stimulate the labor market, however much it might be struggling.
 
“Price stability is a precondition of maximum sustainable employment,” he said.
 
That’s because without price stability, employers won’t feel confident enough in the economy going forward or have the financial resources to ramp up hiring again.


 
News you should know
Let's do the numbers
  • The Fed’s decision to keep interest rates steady pushed stocks lower Wednesday, along with fears that rising gas prices and prolonged war in Iran will make inflation worse. The S&P 500 fell 1.4%, the Dow dropped 1.6% and the Nasdaq lost 1.5%. 

  • The price of gas is up 27% from a month ago. It’s the biggest four-week jump in 30 years, surpassed only by the weeks following Hurricane Katrina.

  • Yesterday, we had good news about tax refunds averaging 10% higher this year. Today, the bad news: Higher gas prices will likely eat the difference.
Your money
  • Wholesale inflation sped up in February, with the producer price index up 3.4% annually in February. A huge contributor was vegetables, which shot up 48.9% in just a month. You might not see those hikes right away.

  • About 80% of the seafood consumed in the U.S. is imported, much of it from China and India. A year of tariff threats, deals and TACOs have driven prices way up, and the industry is still reeling.

  • We talked with an expert who recommends retirees, even those who didn’t earn enough to owe income tax, file tax returns electronically. Why? It cuts off potential scams. Here are some more tips for older taxpayers.

The Trump administration
  • President Donald Trump suspended the Jones Act, which requires goods moving between American ports to do so only on American ships, for 60 days. It’s a bid to control energy prices. Will it work?

  • The postmaster general told lawmakers the Postal Service could run out of cash by next year without funding changes. A 95-cent stamp would help too, he added. Amazon is drawing down its business with USPS, but says it’s not to blame for the shortfall.

  • Airport security is still working without pay while the Department of Homeland Security is shut down. Here’s where lines are running long as more workers call out.
 


QUOTE OF THE DAY
“There's a very, very strong idea that dentists are very, very wealthy. You know, ‘My crown is just paying for your next boat payment,’ right? And I'm like, ‘You haven't even touched the cost of my rent for this month.’”
— Dr. Katherine Sislow, owner of Sislow Family Dental in Greenwood Village, Colorado
Roughly three-quarters of Americans have dental insurance, but about nearly 6 in 10 U.S. adults told Humana they’ve delayed dental treatment to take care of other expenses. But dental patients aren’t the only ones facing higher costs. All this week, our series “My Economy” is bringing you surprising stories of real people scraping together a living in health care.
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A closeup of a woman's hands holding a ball of dark red yarn attached to a hat on knitting needles.
Artful Yarn owner Tiffany Perry in Ohio with a “Melt the ICE” hat. Caleigh Wells/Marketplace
Final note
One more supply chain disruption
Knitting stores are seeing a run on red after a Minneapolis-area yarn shop unearthed a 1940s hat design to protest 2026 immigration enforcement. The $5 pattern, with roots in Norwegian anti-Nazi protests, caught on all around the country and one supplier told “Marketplace” the demand for red yarn is five or 10 times higher than normal.
 
It’s not the first time crafters have picked up their needles in solidarity. Remember the pink, cat-eared pussy hats of 2017? Throngs of demonstrators wore them at women's marches the day after Donald Trump’s first inauguration — the lucky ones who could find pink yarn in time. Back then, there were more fabric stores, too.
 
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