If there’s one thing an economy’s supposed to do, it’s add jobs.
At least enough to absorb folks joining and re-joining the workforce, be it from school, raising kids, or (at least in past administrations) immigration.
So a -23,000 month, like the U.S. economy had in July, is definitely going in the wrong direction. Over the past three months, with big downward revisions, job creation has averaged just 20,000 a month, which is pretty anemic.
Diving deeper into these signs of mediocrity, July saw job losses in several sectors: local government down 57,000, leisure and hospitality down 40,000, finance down 14,000, retail down more than 19,000.
The sector that lost the most jobs in July was local government education. That category is mostly K-12 public school roles, which were down almost 50,000.
Such a sharp drop could be a flaw in “seasonal adjustment,” said Elise Gould, senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute. She said many teachers are laid off in the summer.
“At the same time, local education employment has fallen every month since March,” Gould said — as in, when school is still in session. “We know that there have been funding cuts at the Department of Education. Worse budget cuts may be coming, and that could cause even more uncertainty about hiring or keeping teachers on staff.”
Financial services, another job-loser, is down 114,000 in the last year. This is partly about the weak housing market and high mortgage rates, said Brian Bethune, a financial economist at Boston College.
“Mortgage activity has slowed to a standstill,” he said. |