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We’ve got new economic data today, plus Oscar noms and what it’s like to coach executives in SIlicon Valley. But first: My colleague Daniel Ackerman connects the dots on a sneaky source of inflation. —  Tony Wagner, newsletter editor

President Donald Trump, partly hidden by signage at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
Old Old Bay and new Old Bay (Melissa Cannarozzi/Getty Images and Old Bay)
What’s driving inflation: food or the package it comes in?
Old Bay just transitioned to a tin-and-steel box. It's a more nostalgic vibe — and also more expensive. And it’s a sign that steel-and-aluminum tariffs can impact food packaging.

McCormick & Company, the manufacturer of Old Bay seasoning and other spices and sauces, announced its packaging costs increased last quarter on its earnings call Thursday morning.

That comes as food prices jumped overall 0.7% in December, month over month.

McCormick switched packaging for Old Bay seasoning from a plastic to a tinplate container, said Matt Reynolds, chief editor of Packaging World Magazine. He said the new tin-and-steel can looks better on store shelves and customers can reuse it.

“It also has a lot of nostalgic, vintage kind of feel,” he said.

But those vintage cans are getting more expensive, in large part because of 50% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, said Jason Miller, supply chain management professor at Michigan State University.

“If you’re a canned food maker right now, 2026 is looking to be quite a rough year from a budget standpoint,” he said.

But Miller said the picture is not nearly as dire for some other kinds of food packaging.

“On the plastic side, we haven’t seen really any price changes that are worth noting,” he said.

Plastic is made from oil, the price of which has been low of late. Plus, plastic — along with glass and cardboard — is largely made in the U.S., so tariffs are less of an issue for now. But Ryan Fox, a corrugated packaging market analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, said they could be in the longer term when those packaging facilities need an upgrade.

“A lot of the equipment that is used to make any kind of packaging is not always made in the U.S.,” Fox said. “So when you need replacement parts, when you need service, those tariffs affect the supply chain and affect pricing for those parts.”
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News you should know

Let’s do the numbers

  • Wall Street is still giddy President Donald Trump backed off his Greenland ultimatum. The S&P 500 closed 0.5% higher today. The Dow rose 0.6% and the Nasdaq composite added 0.9%.

  • The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed prices were up 2.8% annually in November, accelerating from the month before.

  • Real GDP increased by 4.4% in the third quarter, according to the latest government figures, higher than initial estimates. Private services like IT and insurance were a big reason.

  • There were 47% more home sellers than home buyers nationwide last month, according to new data from Redfin. But don’t call it a buyer’s market yet; houses are sitting because they’re priced higher than those buyers want to pay.

Tech

  • The U.S. and China have reportedly signed off on a TikTok spinoff that would place the video platform’s American business mostly in the hands of U.S. investors and satisfy a divest-or-ban law. 

  • Elon Musk’s AI chatbot Grok generated 3 million sexual images in less than two weeks, according to the Center for Countering Digital Hate, well over a million depicting nonconsenting women and tens of thousands depicting children.
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QUOTE OF THE DAY
"I don’t see what a corporation has to lose by letting a superstar employee come in at 10 versus at nine, or work from home for a few days. These are simple ways that everybody benefits from just a little bit more flexibility."
—  Jill Johnson, a Silicon Valley executive coach

After a decade-long career in sales, Johnson found her pivot to coaching benefited from specializing in ADHD. Employees with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder are often extremely talented, Johnson said, and corporate culture could benefit from being more accommodating.

Lewis Pullman and Danielle Brooks announce the nominees for Best Picture. Sinners appears on the screen.
Kevin Winter/Getty Images
Final note
Oscar season is in full swing

The vampire musical smash hit “Sinners” scored 16 Academy Award nominations, the most ever. That’s especially notable because writer-director Ryan Coogler had a novel deal on the picture, which he will fully own by 2050. Here’s where to stream that movie and all the other nominees before the March 15 broadcast.

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