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Ten-year Treasury yields hit a multiyear high this week. It’s also happening in Germany, Japan and the U.K. as the Iran war sends ripple effects across the globe economy. That’s bad news for governments selling debt, and for consumers’ loans. 

We’ll also look at rising utility bills and how some “Survivor” spent their winnings. But first: Tariff refunds are landing in bank accounts. My colleague Kristin Schwab explains why small business owners still have a cloud hanging over them. — Carrie Barber, newsletter editor
Cars and cargo containers at a Chinese port.
CN-STR AFP via Getty Images
Tariff refunds are rolling out
Business owners celebrate the money, but “we’re still in a state of real upheaval.”
Sarah Wells checked her company bank account last week and got a welcome surprise.

“About half of what I claimed for refund was in my bank account,” said the owner of Sarah Wells Bags, which makes products for new moms. “Like, the cash was not even pending. It was already deposited back into my bank account.”

There it was: $10,000 in tariff refunds, half of what the government owes her.
“I was really hesitant to believe it would be real until the check was in the bank, so to speak. And it was exciting to see it,” she said.

As of about a week ago, U.S. Customs and Border Protection had approved more than $35 billion of the $166 billion the Trump administration owes to companies for tariffs the Supreme Court ruled illegal.

The deposits have started arriving earlier than businesses were expecting. Still, many business owners are in disbelief that the refunds are real, even after seeing the cash in their accounts.

“I think it’s OK to do both celebration on these refunds, but still also be mindful that we’re still in a state of real upheaval,” said Wells, who’s earmarked the money to pay for other tariffs still in place.
READ MORE


 
News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Bond yields pulled back after yesterday’s spike, lifting the U.S. stock market. The S&P 500 rose 1.1% today, the Dow added 1.3%, and the Nasdaq rallied 1.5%.

  • SpaceX filed to go public today, reporting lost $2.6 billion in operational losses on $18.7 billion in revenue last year. Elon Musk’s rocket company is expected to raise about $75 billion in what could be the biggest IPO ever, making Musk the world’s first trillionaire.

  • Someone will win $2 million on tonight’s season finale of “Survivor.” How did past winners spend their prize? 1) Started a business that incurred a $50,000 debt; 2) Replaced their dog’s hip; or 3) Took one shot of Macallan 56 whiskey at the top of the Burj Al Arab hotel in Dubai. Check out the answer(s).

Energy
  • A barrel of Brent crude oil fell to $105.02 today, and a gallon of regular gas rose, averaging $4.55.

  • Utilities across the country requested $9.4 billion in rate hikes in the first quarter of 2026. That’s after they asked for $31 billion last year, which was double the previous year. Let’s count the reasons why.

  • Oklahoma is a top producer of oil and gas, so why isn’t the state’s economy getting a boost from higher crude prices?  

Government
  • Nearly 5 million people could drop Affordable Care Act health plans by the end of the year, mostly because Congress let subsidies lapse, a KFF analysis found. Fewer enrollees means even higher premiums for everyone else with ACA insurance.

  • Each year, the federal government spends about $3 billion fighting wildfires, and with wildfire risk increasing, so are the costs to fight them. States are finding creative ways to fill funding gaps.


QUOTE OF THE DAY
“A bill didn't destroy people's houses. The practice of unregulated subprime loans destroyed the practice.”
— Former Rep. Barney Frank, in 2018
Frank died yesterday at 86. A long-serving Democratic representative from Massachusetts, he and then-Sen. Chris Dodd coauthored landmark legislation reforming Wall Street after the 2008 financial crisis.

The Dodd-Frank Act required banks to have more capital on hand to cover bad loans, like the risky subprime mortgages that played a leading role in the financial crisis. It also created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Frank and Dodd talked to Marketplace’s David Brancaccio in 2018 about how the law came together, “too big to fail” bailouts, inequality in America and much more.
HEAR MORE
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A photo illustration shows a retreating glacier on a mountainside.
Ariel Aberg-Riger
Final note
"How We Survive" returns May 27
The climate crisis is escalating. We have to decarbonize our economy, but we’re moving too slowly. So, what’s the backup plan?

On our climate podcast “How We Survive,” host Amy Scott explores large-scale interventions to limit climate change. Some ideas are really out there, like shooting sulfur into the stratosphere, sucking carbon out of the air and resurrecting extinct animals. What would Darwin think? Check out the trailer and subscribe below.
LISTEN NOW
 
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