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Good evening. The price of oil is up again after the U.S. launched fresh strikes on Iran and withdrew its waiver freeing up Iranian oil sales. We’ll dig into it below, and get you up to speed on what to expect from a new earnings season.

But first: You’ve heard about the Great Wealth Transfer, but what about all the wealth tied up in businesses? Can they all make it to the next generation?  — Tony Wagner, newsletter editor
Two men look at a sunset over a field
Carl Court/Getty Images
The Baby Boomer business transfer is coming
Some 6 million businesses will either change hands over the next 10 years — or they might disappear altogether, Marketplace’s Kristin Schwab reports.
John and Dave Zavoral spend a lot of time together. For one, John is Dave’s uncle, so there are birthdays, holidays, and racquetball — every morning at 5:30 a.m.

“I used to pick him up and bring him to racquetball, but now he drives himself,” John said.

The early start time is not negotiable because the two have to get to work at RJ Zavoral & Sons, Inc., a construction company in East Grand Forks, Minnesota.

“Does it seem strange from the outside that the people that I go to work with every day are the same people that I hang out with on the weekends or spend holidays with?” said Dave, the vice president of the company, which employs 29 family members. “Yeah, I’m sure it does seem strange. I often get the comment from people like, ‘well how do you make that work?’”

Five family members own equal shares of the company. John, the 65-year-old second-generation CEO, is teaching them everything he knows about running the business, because the family is about to make a big decision: They’re going to vote on who will take over when John retires.

“Right now, they’re being groomed, and we meet once a week and we all kind of do a consensus of what direction we’re going,” he said. “I think it’s going to be based on strengths. Family dynamics are involved, but I think it’ll all work out.”

RJ Zavoral & Sons is one of 6 million small and medium-sized businesses expected to change hands over the next decade as Baby Boomers move into retirement, according to the McKinsey Institute for Economic Mobility. The generation accounts for more than half of the country’s total wealth, and their transition away from work will have deep implications for the economy.

“There’s going to be an oversupply of businesses that are going to be available,” said Nick Noel, a senior fellow at the McKinsey Institute for Economic Mobility. “And if they can’t find folks that are willing to buy those businesses that are otherwise viable, [they] will have to shut down.”

Noel expects 1.5 million viable businesses will disappear. And in states like Montana, Vermont, and Maine, small and medium-sized businesses make up half of total employment.

“It really does become a crisis for economic development, for community vitality, employment, and economic mobility in those places,” he said, unless new buyers emerge.
READ MORE


 
News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Most stocks rose today but, as so often happens lately, AI losses held Wall Street back. The S&P 500 closed down 0.4%, the Dow fell 0.2% from its record high and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.2%.

  • A new quarter means it’s earnings season once again. PepsiCo reports Thursday, Delta Air Lines on Friday and a bunch of big banks will give results next week. Experts told us to expect big numbers.

  • But big numbers don’t always pay off. Samsung reported profits rose 1,800% annually, but shares fell almost 7%. What gives?

  • The price of Brent Crude rose to $74.16 today, and the national average gas price fell to $3.79 a gallon.
Government
  • Driving up the price of oil: Renewed U.S. strikes on Iran and a revoked waiver of sanctions that let Iran sell oil around the world.

  • The Bureau of Economic analysis is changing how it measures personal consumption expenditures, and will likely show a drop in price growth as a result. How will that impact the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy?

  • Thousands of Medicare recipients are losing access to drug coverage entirely because they didn’t realize their premiums had risen, sometimes by just a few bucks.
Your money
  • Congress is considering a $130 electric vehicle charge to stack with EV registration fees in some states. Governments need the money because gas taxes aren’t bringing in revenue like they used to.

  • Walmart announced price cuts on some summer staples. Facing high inflation and low approval ratings on the economy, the president rushed to take credit.


QUOTE OF THE DAY
"Fintechs have grown up."
— James Wester, a research director at Javelin Strategy and Research
Klarna wants to become Klarna Bank USA. The Swedish company, best known for its buy now, pay later services, has applied for a bank license in Utah. It’s not the only fintech company looking to grow by becoming a bank; PayPal and Affirm are doing the same. Why now?
READ MORE
A book store
Getty Images
Final note
What are you reading this summer?
Our flagship weekly newsletter delivered a special holiday issue last Friday, compiling the best books the Marketplace staff has read so far this year. We’ve got business books and very un-business books, beach reads and door stops. Check out our selections and be sure to subscribe to get even more Marketplace in your inbox every Friday morning.
 
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