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As he worked on this story at the office Friday morning, Mitchell Hartman kept getting interrupted by workers from a local HVAC firm installing new cables and ductwork in the ceiling above his desk.
So, he figured he might as well ask them: How’s the job going, compensation-wise?
“I mean, trending in the last couple of years, I’ve been getting consistent raises, but it doesn’t seem to really affect how much money that I’m able to spend,” said Kyle Wallis, a journeyman controls technician. “It’s like, I make more and more every year, but everything else is more and more expensive.”
Average hourly earnings — the broadest measure of compensation for working in this economy — were up just 3.1% year-over-year last month. That’s the slowest pace in more than five years. And there has been a pretty sharp slowdown in just the past six months.
Wages were growing 3.7% year-over-year back in February. And that’s the same period — since the Iran war started — when prices spiked higher for everything from gas to groceries.
“The American worker is working harder, productivity is up, wage growth is tepid, prices are continuing to rise,” said Kyle Moore, chief economist at The Century Foundation.
Wages are tepid for a few reasons, starting with the “low-hire, low-fire” job market, which has made workers hesitant to quit, said Bill Adams, chief U.S. economist at Fifth Third Commercial bank.
“And one of the big drivers of workers getting higher wages is when they switch jobs to a higher-paying one,” Adams said.
So, what would generate more wage growth?
“A job market with more competition among employers for workers,” he said.
But right now, it’s employers who have all the leverage. |