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Happy Tuesday. While the cold snap is finally letting up here in the northeast, winter seems far from over for crypto investors. Our colleague Sabri Ben-Achour digs in. 

We’ve also got a lackluster retail sales report for December, a story about a very long-term investment and an explanation of the Easter eggs in Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime performance.  — Catie McCarthy and Dylan Miettinen, digital producers
A person walks by a storefront advertising bitcoin
Chris McGrath/Getty Images
How long can crypto winter last?
Bitcoin has lost more than 40% of its value since last October. Is this another cold snap, or something worse?

The price of bitcoin is hovering under $70,000 as of this afternoon. It’s recovered just a hair after tanking last week, but still lost 40% of its value after peaking at $122,000 last fall.

It’s a similar story with other cryptocurrencies like Ether, and it has left investors asking why did this happen, and why now?

Susan Kamenar, in Denver, Colorado, said she got into cryptocurrency around 2018 for one main reason: FOMO. She doesn’t have her whole life savings in there, just an amount she was willing to gamble with. But even so, when the price dropped last week?

“I definitely freaked out, had a little mini panic attack inside. I’d never seen it tank that fast and that dramatically before,” Kamenar said.

But she isn’t ready to let the dream die quite yet.

“Ultimately, I was still in the green, so I decided to hold. It’s already plateaued and kind of bounced back to the 70-mark. This is not the dip to end all dips, there’s no way,” Kamenar said.

Others are not so sure. Paul Krugman, an economics professor at City University of New York, said this could be what he calls “Crypto Fimbulwinter.”

“In Norse mythology, the Fimbulwinter is the three-year-long winter that precedes the end of days. So it’s kind of like the final winter,” he said.

Krugman said bitcoin has had 17 years to prove itself, and maybe time is up.

“How often can you convince people that something is the currency of the future, where is the actual use?” he said. “It was supposed to be a safe haven, something that people would buy when deeply concerned. But we’re not seeing that, it’s behaving like a speculative tech stock.”

Some crypto optimists will give Krugman that.

“We saw a narrative basically fall apart; the narrative that bitcoin is a protection against inflation and government spending run amok, but actually with every business cycle we see that this was not true,” said Igor Pejic, a tech analyst and author of “ Tech Money.”

When times are good, people pile into crypto. When times are panicky, people stampede out.

READ MORE


 
News you should know

Let’s do the numbers:

  • Stocks today were a mixed bag. The S&P 500 shortly exceeded its all-time high before falling 0.3%, the Dow added 0.1% to its all-time high and the Nasdaq composite lost 0.6%.

  • The latest retail sales report brought Wall Street down. Economists expected 0.4% growth in December, but they were flat.

Your money

  • It’s almost tax season, and last summer’s tax and spending bill could let you deduct tips and car loans — in certain states. Here’s what new federal tax rules could mean for you. 

  • Despite meh retail sales figures in December, Americans were less worried about the short-term trajectory of inflation , according to a New York Fed survey.

  • Consumer debt remains high, though. Credit card balances rose to $1.28 trillion at the end of 2025  — a new record. 

  • The White House pushed for more price transparency in health care, but don’t expect to comparison shop anytime soon.

The Trump Administration

  • We’re keeping tabs on yet another partial government shutdown that could start Friday at midnight. This one is centered on debate over reforms for the Department of Homeland Security.

  • In a social media post, President Donald Trump said he’ll block the planned opening of a new bridge between Canada and the United States unless Canada compensates the U.S. Thing is, Canada paid for the $4.6 billion project.
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LET'S GO
QUOTE OF THE DAY
“They’re essentially building out new cities. It’s like building Vegas from the desert in the 1950s.”
—  Dan Ives, a technology analyst with Wedbush Securities

Google parent company Alphabet is making a long-term bet on AI data centers and borrowing tens of billions of dollars to pay for theirs. How long-term exactly? Some of the bonds they’re issuing have a 100-year maturity date.

READ MORE
Bad Bunny stands on a truck surrounded by dancers.
Click the image to watch the performance. (Patrick T. Fallon/AFP via Getty Images) 
Final note
Doing the numbers for the Benito Bowl

If you’re anything like us, you’re still thinking more about the Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime performance than the game that bookended either side of it. More than just a fun, star-studded show , it was steeped in symbolism with nods to Puerto Rico’s culture, history, and economy.

Sugar cane and gold vendors alluded to the island’s colonial exploitation. Dancers who hung from electric poles pointed to the dire conditions of Puerto Rico’s power grid after the Trump administration nixed funding to help support it. And cameos spotlighted beloved Puerto Rican institutions like Villa’s Tacos in LA and Toñita’s, the last Puerto Rican social club in Brooklyn.

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This newsletter was written by Dylan Miettinen and Catie McCarthy and edited by Tony Wagner.

 
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