Sometimes, economies reach a point where their debt gets so out of control that monetary policymakers must prioritize the government’s borrowing needs over stabilizing inflation. It’s called “fiscal dominance.”
“It's a situation where fiscal policy runs the show, and monetary policy is subjugated to fiscal needs,” said Veronique de Rugy, the George Gibbs Chair in Political Economy at George Mason University.
In the U.S., monetary policymakers (that’s the Federal Reserve) control interest rates and money supply, while fiscal policymakers (that’s Congress and the president) control taxes and government spending.
But when monetary policymakers raise interest rates — as they do when trying to combat inflation — the interest the government pays on debt goes up too.
“When the borrowing costs of the government get really high they may start to struggle to bring in enough revenue to cover those borrowing costs,” said Rashad Ahmed, economist at the Andersen Institute for Finance & Economics. “If the central bank starts to set interest rates in a way where they're prioritizing a reduction in the debt burden of the government, you have what's called fiscal dominance.”
In the United States, this happened during World War II and its aftermath. |