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American economic growth sped up last quarter, but the Chinese economy grew even faster. China is still considered a “developing” economy, but why?

We’ll dig into the numbers on that — plus unemployment, AI and Cheesecake Factory — in today’s newsletter. But first let’s stay stateside, as Marketplace’s Sabri Ben-Achour looks at just how much regular folks are stretching to keep our no-longer-developing economy strong.  — Tony Wagner, newsletter editor
A shopper at a grocery store.
Joe Readle/Getty Images
The economy grew 3.4% this summer, but consumers got there by saving less
Economists say a more strained consumer could slow growth in the fourth quarter, and higher-income spenders are cushioned by AI-driven stock gains.
Two pieces of economic data came out on Thursday. For one, the economy grew faster than expected: 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter. But prices grew too — by 3.6%. And those higher prices could start to take a bit of steam of that growth soon.

Still, 3.4% growth is pretty good.

“I think the big takeaway is the U.S. economy had a pretty strong summer overall,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Financial Group.

Of course, a lot of that growth was due to AI development. “That’s certainly a big part of the story,” Porter said. “There’s no two ways about it.”

But AI wasn’t the sole cause.

“Consumer spending was relatively robust as well,” Porter said. “Even with the energy price shock, the consumer has — as a whole — held in there and managed to grow a little bit faster than average.”

The way that consumers have managed to hang in there, though, is not quite as encouraging.

“If you look at the savings rate, it came down to 3.8% in September,” said Lydia Boussour, a senior economist at EY-Parthenon. “That’s down from about 5% a year ago.”

And actually, consumers did get tired when summer turned to fall.
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News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Alphabet’s shares fell more than 12% today, costing Google’s parent company $482 billion in market value and dragging down the rest of the stock market. The S&P 500 fell 0.3% even though most stocks rose. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite lost 1.4%, and the Dow fell 0.3%.

  • Amazon’s stock fell after hours when the company reported huge cloud earnings but missed expectations elsewhere.

  • The European Central Bank kept its key interest rates unchanged today, and like its American counterpart, signaled a potential hike in December. ECB President Christine Lagarde announced she would step down early.

  • China’s economy grew 4.5% last quarter, according to the government. But it still considers itself “developing.” Why? Let’s look at this history of the term.
The labor market
  • First-time unemployment claims fell to 194,000 last week, that’s near a 57-year low. So why doesn’t it feel like it?

  • Whose jobs are most vulnerable to AI? A new study from Pew found women are more at risk than men with similar education levels.

  • We talk a lot about the fat raises job switchers tend to enjoy, but new research says hopping around might not improve career progression in the long run.
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QUOTE OF THE DAY
“I say it to [Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services]: ‘I lay the fraud at your feet.’ Now you want to blame the agent community — we've been screaming for fraud changes for years.”
— Ronnell Nolan, president of Health Agents for America
The Trump administration kicked 760,000 people off of their Affordable Care Act insurance plans a few weeks ago for alleged fraud, blaming insurance brokers and freezing licensing. Now some of those brokers are suing, saying the White House’s crackdown is creating chaos during open enrollment.
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The exterior of a Cheesecake Factory.
Timothy Hiatt/Getty Images for The Cheesecake Factory
Final note
“Why you gotta fight with me at Cheesecake? You know I love to go there.”
At a rally last weekend, former President Barack Obama said President Donald Trump is more concerned with making the White House look “like Saddam Hussein opened a Cheesecake Factory” than the issues facing the nation.
 
Ignoring the critique that they are easily distracted, some Republicans spent the last week before midterms accusing Obama of elitism. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (no stranger to class cosplay) ate at a DC location in protest, saying : “I had a great meal, always have a great meal, and I would just tell the Martha’s Vineyard set to give it a try.” 
 
This is very silly story, even sillier than the Cracker Barrel thing last year, but it seems to have some staying power, so allow us to serve up a few facts. Cheesecake’s hundreds of locations tend to pop up in wealthier communities, and its stock is on a tear — shares are up 113% so far this year. The upscale-casual chain’s head designer quibbled with the dictator comparison but seems unbothered by the whole flap; Cheesecake Factory’s approval rating is quite high.
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