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Happy earnings season! What’d you get me? I’m joking, but I did get you this newsletter. We’ll talk about the bummer summer big banks had, pull apart UnitedHealth’s rising profits, and figure out who sets all those quarterly earnings expectations in the first place. But first, my colleague Caleigh Wells is here to explain why data centers use so much water. — Tony Wagner, newsletter editor
An aerial view of a data center and its closed-loop cooling system.
Mario Tama/Getty Images
A simple AI query uses a bottle of water, but why?
In data centers, thousands of computers constantly work on hard tasks related to AI. Keeping everything cool takes a lot of money — and water.
Up until a couple years ago, data center cooling was just like cooling your computer. When it gets hot, a fan comes on to blow cool air across the hot chips. In cold places, that might come from outside. In hot places, it might require air conditioning.

But artificial intelligence is using more and more power, and chips are getting jammed into tighter and tighter spaces, all in the name of harder, better, faster, stronger computations. All of which makes more heat.

“The heat flux is going to be, in the near future, too high for air cooling to always be a satisfactory solution,” said Jonathan Boreyko, a professor of mechanical engineering at Virginia Tech.

That’s where liquid cooling comes in. Instead of fans, some data centers might rely on pipes, filled with water and ethylene glycol (also known as engine coolant). Those pipes send liquid through the CPUs, which grabs their heat, and shoots it into a cooling tower.

“During that process, some of the water is evaporated, and that's how the heat is actually moved away,” said Eric Masanet, a professor of sustainability in emerging technology at the University of California, Santa Barbara. “It's the same thing that happens when we sweat after a workout. The sweat evaporates, and it takes the heat from our bodies and moves it into the atmosphere.”

Masanet says with air cooling, data centers might have to tack on an extra 30% of their power draw just to keep cool. Switching to liquid drops that cooling tax down to 10%.

That might not sound like much, but new data centers are now ten times the size of the old ones.

“That 10% of power that goes into cooling a gigawatt data center is equivalent to the total power it took to run some of the largest data centers on the planet before AI,” Masanet said.

In addition to the power use, there’s the water use. Researchers at University of California, Riverside, figured out that generating a 100-word email with AI uses about a bottle of fresh water. A hyperscale data center can use up to 5 million gallons of water every day. Which is about the same as a town of 30,000 people.

That water gets used up in two places.
READ MORE


 
News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Stocks fell a bit today as earnings season kicked off. The S&P 500 closed down less than 0.1%, the Dow fell 0.3% and the Nasdaq composite lost 0.2%.

  • JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the U.S., missed expectations for its Q3 earnings today, while other banks came in mixed.

  • UnitedHealth shares fell 0.2% today after the insurer reported lower revenue and higher profits. How’d it pull that off? Insuring fewer people.
Sports gambling vs sports “predicting”
  • The Trump administration is reportedly probing online sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel, though not prediction markets that let users bet on sports like Polymarket and Kalshi.

  • A new Reuters poll found a bipartisan majority of Americans oppose prediction market betting on elections. Sports are a mixed bag.

  • If you’re in the mood to get wonky, I recommend this recent Bloomberg column about how sports bets and sports-related prediction markets are regulated differently, the legal fight goes to some weird places.
Your money
  • Social Security recipients will learn their new cost-of-living adjustment tomorrow. With inflation elevated, the AARP is predicting checks will be 3.6% larger next year.

  • War in Iran has cost the average American household $2,000 so far, Moody’s Analytics reported.
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QUOTE OF THE DAY
“There’s what people have called the War of the Bots going on now… it's basically AI working on both sides of the equation.”
— JB Silvers, health finance professor emeritus Case Western Reserve University
Those sides would be health care providers and insurance companies, Silvers said, as each tries to squeeze more money out of the other over the course of your care. Who’s winning? Silvers said better tech is part of why UnitedHealth reported higher profits with fewer enrollees today.
READ MORE


ecretary General of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences Ellen Moons (C), Chair of the Prize Committee John Hassler (L) and Member of the Prize Committee and expert Timo Boppart announce US macroeconomists Robert E Hall and Michael Woodford as the winners of the 2026 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences in Stockholm on October 12, 2026.
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
Final note
Who sets earnings season expectations?
We often talk about publicly traded companies “beating” or “missing” expectations on their quarterly earnings reports. Who are these people setting expectations, and why do they have so much power? You’ve always wondered, and we have the answer
TELL ME
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