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Hello, and welcome to another Tuesday of monitoring our ever-changing economy, or as I like to think of it, “productive doomscrolling.”

The war in Iran has ripple effects throughout this economy, far beyond the price of crude oil. As our reporter Kristin Schwab explains in this video , gas prices, mortgages and even your next vacation could be getting more expensive soon.
 
My colleague Caleigh Wells looked closer at that last bit. Plus, we’ve got some food news and an exploration of why it’s difficult to combine two streaming services. — Catie McCarthy, digital producer
A shot looking down on people walking through an airport, casting long shadows..
Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty Images
Airfares are climbing because of the war in the Middle East
But they’re climbing unevenly.
If you’ve got any big summer trips planned, like the kind that includes a long-haul flight, you better book your tickets now. Airfares are climbing as you read this.
 
The problem is simple: As the price of oil goes up because of the war in the Middle East, so does the price of jet fuel. But the way airlines are responding is not quite so simple.
 
Last time we saw a spike in jet fuel prices like this was at the beginning of the war in Ukraine. Fuel prices and airfare went up, but people paid up anyway.
 
“Because during that time, there was just such a crazy level of demand for travel. It was during that, you know, revenge travel period,” said Meghna Maharishi, an airline reporter at travel industry news outlet Skift.
 
Back then, the world was coming out of the pandemic, she said. Consumers were craving to go somewhere — anywhere! — with a bunch of saved-up money burning holes in their pockets. Today, demand for travel is still elevated, but not that elevated.
 
“So I think those increases are going to probably feel a little bit more painful,” Maharishi said.
 
That pain is partly exacerbated by higher oil prices, which mean less disposable income for consumers, per independent airline industry analyst Robert Mann.
 
“Notably, leisure customers have to decide, ‘Well, am I going to pay to light the house and heat the house and fill the fuel tank on the cars, or am I going to go buy airline tickets to see Mickey Mouse?’” he said.
READ MORE


 
News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Stocks were stable today, with many investors holding tight for updates on the war. The S&P 500 closed down 0.2%, the Dow lost 0.1%, and the Nasdaq added less than 0.1%.

  • Oracle stock spiked in after-hours trading when the company beat on quarterly earnings. But investors are still nervous about expensive, circular deals on AI.

  • A gallon of gas now costs $3.54 on average. A month ago, it was under $3.00.

  • More than 400 consumer products were recalled in 2025, the most since 2007. Should we be worried? 
Oil
  • Oil prices continued to oscillate as President Donald Trump threatened “military consequences” for Iran if the country places any mines in the Strait of Hormuz.

  • The U.S. Energy Secretary briefly drove crude prices down by claiming on social media that the Navy escorted an oil tanker through the Strait. The post was later deleted and the White House denied the escort occurred.

  • Higher oil prices typically mean more cash in hand for oil producers, including those in the U.S. But American production isn’t likely to go up anytime soon.

  • President Donald Trump has mounted an unprecedented pressure campaign on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. What’s that got to do with oil? The supply shock has investors betting the central bank will hold next week.
Food news
  • Girl Scout cookies are evolving with the times. You can now buy boxes online from local scouts, who are learning digital marketing strategies and putting that knowledge to use.

  • Ube is all over Trader Joe’s and restaurant menus. American tastes are straining supply chains for the purple, endlessly adaptable yam.

  • The protein craze is another trend captivating chain restaurants like Dunkin’ and Chipotle. Experts weighed in on whether we really need those souped-up ube matchas.


QUOTE OF THE DAY
“I would say the No. 1 topic that CEOs are thinking about is the acceleration of AI in their businesses. And this concept that it's not really a discretionary, optional spend anymore, that it's an absolute must-have.”
— Tim Walsh, U.S. CEO of the audit, tax, and advisory firm KPMG
How do CEOs feel about the economy? Just like the rest of us, they’re thinking a lot about AI, according to a recent survey from KPMG. Seventy-nine of the 100 CEOs interviewed said they’re spending at least 5% of their budget on AI this year.
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Listen to “Marketplace,” test your knowledge, brag to your friends.
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A water tower against a cityscape with the Paramount logo on it.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
Final note
How to (re)build a streaming service
The bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery is over, but Paramount has only just begun sweating the details of its proposed merger. CEO David Ellison said he plans to combine each company’s marquee streaming service, but that’s a lot more difficult than it sounds.
 
Paramount+ is available in fewer countries than HBO Max, for one thing, so there are rights to sort out. And every streamer has its own tech stack, which is why rewinding Amazon Prime is so annoying on my smart TV, but Netflix isn’t. You can’t just mash them together.
 
The whole thing is a tricky coding and billing puzzle, which is why some experts told the Hollywood Reporter you might end up with a bundle, rather than one unified app. Great.
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