The Bureau of Economic Analysis will report later this month how much the economy grew in the second quarter.
If it’s anything like the first quarter, the data will show us that the economy is being increasingly fueled by investment in artificial intelligence: all of the spending that goes into building data centers, along with all of the other technology that powers AI.
It has been a while since there has been this much spending from the tech sector.
“We haven’t really seen it since the 1990s, when we saw the growth of the internet,” said Charlie Dougherty, senior economist with Wells Fargo.
Business investment, in general, makes up about a fifth of overall GDP. So, Dougherty said, it’s encouraging that AI investment is so strong, considering what’s going on with the rest of the economy.
“What we’ve seen is a housing market that’s
really been struggling,” Dougherty said. “We still have relatively high interest rates. Consumer spending looks like it’s moderating.”
But there are limits to how much AI-related spending can support the broader economy. For instance, data centers rely heavily on imported electronics, said Josh Lehner, senior U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors.
“So, if we’re trying to talk about trying to re-shore U.S. manufacturing activity, this spending is not really translating into a lot of domestic jobs on the manufacturing side,” Lehner said.
Lehner said AI investment is creating jobs in construction. But that’s just a short-term boost, according to Bernard Yaros, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics.
“Once you stand up a data center, it doesn’t really take many people to man it or to maintain it,” Yaros said. | 
