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Today, a gallon of regular gas averaged $4.18, its highest price since the war in the Middle East began two months ago. We’ll dig into what’s driving uncertainty in energy markets below. Plus: Can Kai Ryssdal run the economy? And we’ll meet a small business owner who’s paying for tariffs instead of retirement. But first, struggling Spirit Airlines is reportedly negotiating a deal with the Trump administration to keep the airline afloat. My colleague Carla Javier breaks down the latest. 
— Carrie Barber, newsletter editor
A bright yellow plane with
Kevin Carter/Getty Images
Would a Spirit bailout be worth it?
Trump has floated the idea of the government helping, or buying, the struggling budget airline, reviving questions about when, if ever, bailouts are justified.
By the time companies are discussing bailouts, “they're already toast, and you're just trying to resurrect them from the dead, if you will,” said Deborah Lucas at the MIT Sloan School of Management.

Bailouts can have a bad reputation, she said, but there are some cases where there is some justification.

“Where the whole economy is really disruptive, and there's this view that if you let a particular company fail, that failure is going to lead to other firms to fail, and it’s just gonna deepen either a recession or a financial crisis,” she explained.

That’s why, Lucas added, there was a lot of support for bailing out the banks in response to the 2008 financial crisis.

In the past, bailouts were discussed with Congress, according Tad DeHaven, a policy analyst at the Cato Institute.

“But that's different with the Trump administration's second term,” he said, “which signaled pretty much from the outset that it had little regard, interest and time for Congress' thoughts, feelings, or anything else.”

DeHaven said the challenge with any kind of bailout is the precedent it sets. “Eventually, it is likely that a future administration, a future Congress will use those past bailouts as justification for a new set of bailouts, even though those bailouts don't fit that category of being an emergency.”

And that, DeHaven thinks, is exactly what’s happening with Spirit now.
READ MORE


 
News you should know
Let’s do the numbers
  • Sinking AI stocks knocked Wall Street off its winning streak today . The S&P 500 fell 0.5% from its latest high, the Dow dropped 0.1%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.9% from its own record.

  • Consumer confidence ticked up in April, but overall, Americans are more pessimistic than usual about the economy. One big reason: higher prices. 
  • Expect big market moves when Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Google report earnings tomorrow, with Apple to follow Thursday. Here’s what we’ll be watching for.

  • Wall Street is keeping an eye on Big Tech’s spending on AI and data centers to support them. Not for nothing, OpenAI missed its own revenue and user goals as it prepares for an IPO.

Oil
  • A gallon of regular gas reached about $4.18 today, its highest price since the war in Iran began. A barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, climbed to $111.26.

  • The United Arab Emirates will leave OPEC on Friday to help it meet growing demand and increase its production capacity. It’s a major blow to the cartel of the world’s top oil exporters.

Government
  • The Federal Reserve and several central banks are expected to hold interest rates steady this week. Some seem likely to hike later this year, but what about the Fed?

  • The Federal Reserve Simulator lets you play central bank chair for a mere $3.59 on Steam. How was Kai Ryssdal at running the economy?

  • The Federal Communications Commission is reviewing ABC’s broadcast licenses, and wouldn’t you know it — the scrutiny comes after President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump demanded the network fire late-night host Jimmy Kimmel again. It wouldn't be the first time FCC Chair Brendan Carr used his authority over public airwaves to crack down on jokes. 

  • Carr has used little-enforced FCC rules against “news distortion” to threaten broadcasters over jokes and political coverage alike. A bipartisan group of former FCC officials has asked the court step in. 

  • Some Senate Republicans are pushing legislation that would fund Trump’s $400 million ballroom with taxpayer money. But in the unlikely event that passes, what happens to all those private donations?


QUOTE OF THE DAY
“Every day is a new issue. We are still paying tariffs. I don't feel confident about anything right now.”
— Joann Cartiglia, owner of The Queen’s Treasures, a toy and doll shop in upstate New York
At one point, Cartiglia said she had to stop producing toys in China because she couldn’t afford the 30% tariff. She said she applied for a $15,000 refund after the Supreme Court struck down some of President Trump’s import taxes earlier this year. But there’s a new 10% tariff, and the on-again, off-again policy is making it tough for small businesses to operate. Cartiglia, 64, had been thinking of retirement. Now she said that’s “off the table.”
HEAR MORE
A young white man with a shaved head and dirty face partially blocks the sun behind him.
Warner Bros. Pictures
Final note
Would you pay $50 to see “Dune: Part Three”?
That’s what Regal Cinemas was charging for opening-night IMAX seats. Sure, you could buy a cheaper ticket without the nicer screen or custom popcorn bucket, but The Wall Street Journal reports fewer patrons spending big on premium screens and snacks are keeping theaters going while most of us stay at home streaming.

Behind it all is a tense dynamic between movie studios and theaters. Studios want cheaper tickets and fewer ads before their tentpole movies. Theaters say without more releases, they have to find other ways to make money from the biggest blocksters. Put another way: The spice must flow.
 
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