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Plus: What’s driving beef prices right now. 
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Happy Friday! In this week’s newsletter we’ll learn:
  • How the high price of beef is rippling through the supply chain.
  • Why the government is changing how it measures inflation
  • Where EVs are actually selling (hint: not the U.S.)
  • Who’s making the microdramas you keep seeing on TikTok
As always, I’d love to hear about what you like (or don't like) about this newsletter. Click on my name to find my email address. If you learned something new this week, do me a favor and forward it to a friend! — Tony Wagner, newsletter editor
Cattle on a ranch
Brandon Bell/Getty Images
Meatpacking plants close as U.S. cattle herds shrink to a nearly 75-year low
What happens when the herd bounces back? Marketplace’s Caitlin Tan reports.
The cattle herd in the U.S. right now is the smallest it has been since the early 1950s.

That's tough on consumers, of course, because the tight supply has been driving double-digit inflation when it comes to the price of beef.

It's also proving to be a problem for meatpackers — the companies that turn cows into steaks and roasts and burgers. Smaller herds mean fewer hooves walking into slaughterhouses. This year, a handful of packing plants have closed — one in Nebraska and another in Wisconsin. And last week, Tyson announced that it'll be closing a plant in Illinois.

David Anderson, professor of livestock and food product marketing at Texas A&M University, remembers visiting a meatpacking plant in high school.

“I'm going to put it this way: Meatpacking plants are not for the faint of heart,” Anderson said.

It’s a slaughterhouse. “So the animals walk in, right?” he said. “But they ain't walking out.”

Anderson said that over the last few years, fewer cattle have been walking into packing plants every year.

“We had a packing capacity that was built for 130 million head of cattle, and today we're down at 88 million — or whatever the number is,” he said.

It’s 86.2 million, to be exact. Glynn Tonsor, professor of agricultural economics at Kansas State University, said that makes meatpackers’ operating costs jump.

“You can only do that for so long before some business adjustment is going to be made, whether that is shrinking the number of shifts, not running on Saturdays, maybe eventually closing a facility,” Tonsor said.

Which is what we’re seeing. Cattle heading to fewer large-scale packing plants.

“The day after one facility closes, every other facility in the system runs a little more efficiently,” Tonsor said.
READ MORE


 
Your weekend catch-up
Your money
  • How much should it cost to care for a child? It’s a tricky question our podcast “This Is Uncomfortable” tried to untangle this week, as host Reema Khrais prepares to have  a baby of her own.

  • Speaking of Uncomfortable money questions, the Guardian just published a great guide on how to tackle 20 of them.
Tech
  • A new front may have just opened in the Iran war: municipal water systems in the heartland.

  • Artificial intelligence hasn’t disrupted the labor market much yet, but there are early signs the tech could widen inequality.

  • AI has already disrupted Etsy, where shoppers have to sift through tons of slop to find the handmade goods the site made its name on.
Electric vehicles around the world
  • EV sales are down in the U.S., but they’re surging around much of the world as war sends oil prices rising.

  • Sales are also down in China, but the country is exporting a third of the models it produces to countries with growing markets.

  • What’s next? The Mexican government has launched its own line of electric vehicles, with technology from China under the hood.
Take the Marketplace news quiz!
Listen to “Marketplace,” test your knowledge, brag to your friends.
LET'S GO
A woman walks by a store with shopping bags.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images
The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is changing
The changes come just ahead of key decisions for the central bank, Marketplace’s Kristin Schwab reports.
The personal consumption expenditures index for July, out next week, will be the last PCE report of its kind.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis is adjusting how inflation is calculated — a curious change coming at a critical time, as the Federal Open Market Committee becomes increasingly divided about how to get inflation down to its 2% target.

The BEA does regularly reevaluate its PCE methodology. And it’s not uncommon for the agency to make changes in the fall.

“BEA is revising its recipe based on how the world is changing,” said Munseob Lee, an economist at the University of California, San Diego.

For instance, the BEA is adjusting how computer software and accessories are calculated because demand for AI has sent prices soaring. It’s also making changes to investment and legal services categories.

“I believe this change is going to make the PCE more accurate, giving a clearer picture to central bankers,” said Lee.

So where do economists expect the inflation rate to go?
READ MORE
 
ICYMI: Your picks
Here are the stories readers clicked on the most in our Daily Wrap newsletter this week. Sign up to get the latest news and numbers in your inbox every weekday evening.

  • Free solar panels and home batteries? Ann Arbor's trying it out (Marketplace)
  • The 2030s will bring a fiscal cliff. Here’s how it got so steep. (The Washington Post Opinion)
  • Here's why Home Depot calls housing market "frozen" (Marketplace)
  • Is the consumer engine of the economy starting to slow down? (Marketplace)
  • A buyer's market? Yes. For those who can afford it. (Marketplace)
Kai Ryssdal walks through a set made to look like a library.
Ryssdal tours the fully furnished and propped office set with Ko and Crema. (Sofia Terenzio/Marketplace)
Microdramas get the "Hollywood treatment" at this new studio
These tiny series are big business in China, but can they make it in the States? The founders of Knockout Shorts think so.
At an iconic lot in Hollywood, there’s a new studio in town that wants to change the way you watch everything.

Chris Crema and Matthew Ko are the guys behind Knockout Shorts, a short form, vertical video studio in Los Angeles. “Marketplace” host Kai Ryssdal visited Sunset Las Palmas Studio to hear about their vision for the future of entertainment.

“These are my babies, so I'll try not to be a salesman on them,” said Crema, who led the tour. Knockout designed these sets with financing from Sunset Studios. There’s an apartment, restaurant, hospital room, office, and courtroom.

“So for this, it's like why couldn't you have a “Judge Judy” in the vertical space using this courtroom?” Ko said.

Knockout Shorts makes microdramas, also called verticals or shorts. Simply put, they’re television shows made to watch on your phone. Each episode is one to two minutes long, and a series runs anywhere from 50 to 100 episodes. Most of Knockout’s shows can be found on the streaming apps like DramaBox.

So far, Knockout has produced 10 shows in the year or so they’ve been a studio. They’re hoping to ramp up production this year.

"Standing sets means that this will not move. No one will take it down. It will basically live here permanently in this setup,” explained Crema. “Production designers and teams can come in if they want to paint the walls, if they want to add stuff. That's great, but at the end of it, they have to reset it back. So basically, in theory, someone could come the next day.”

They may look like traditional Hollywood sets, but standing sets are plug-and-play. They’re fully furnished and rigged with lighting. Crews don't have to hire set designers or buy props, they can just come in and start shooting.

The lot, Sunset Las Palmas Studios, has a long and storied history. 
READ MORE
 
SONG OF THE WEEK
"Faceshopping" by SOPHIE
Maggie Rogers sings under a spotlight in a black and white photo.
Courtesy Future Classic and Mahmoud Rizk / AFP via Getty Images

Listen to "Faceshopping" on YouTube | Apple Music | Spotify
 
There’s one more twist to the microdrama story.

We mentioned China is ahead of the U.S. in this market, cranking out a mind-boggling amount of shortform content aided by artificial intelligence. According to RestofWorld, the need for fresh faces has given rise to marketplaces where regular people allow their likeness to be licensed for AI content.
 
A typical deal can pay anywhere from $15 and $700, but come with little control over where your face could end up in the future. At least these folks are getting paid; years ago, we met a professor in New York who had been deepfaked on Chinese social media countless times from a single interview.


 
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